Will the UN General Assembly pass a resolution on Security Council reform by 2028?

Reform of the United Nations Security Council is one of the longest-running debates in international diplomacy. Predict whether the General Assembly will pass a substantive resolution expanding or restructuring the Security Council by 2028. Key proposals include permanent seats for Africa, India, Brazil, Germany, and Japan. Consider the veto-holding P5 members' resistance, the Uniting for Consensus group's counterproposals, and growing momentum from the Global South. Market resolves based on an official UN General Assembly vote on a reform resolution.